Sunday, February 25, 2007

It All Comes Down to This

In a few hours, it will all be over but the shouting. And something tells me that this year, no matter what the final outcome, there will be a lot of shouting.

First, though, a hearty round of applause for Half Nelson so-stars Ryan Gosling and the brilliant Shareeka Epps for snagging Best Actor and Actress at yesterday’s Independent Spirit Awards. In this last prize party prior to the Oscars, the big winner was, not so surprisingly, LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE with several nods, including one for best picture.

A host, a multitude, a nation of Oscar forecasters have emerged this season and all pretty much share the same predictions for acting and director, with the Best Picture race anyone’s guess. And most everyone has declared “who will win and who should win.” On this variation on a theme, I’m offering who I think will win and, if there is an upset, who would make for a fun (and deserving) surprise victory tonight.

Happy Oscars, everyone.

PICTURE
Prediction Little Miss Sunshine
Nice Surprise The Queen

ACTOR
Prediction Forest Whitaker
Nice Surprise Peter O’Toole

ACTRESS
Prediction Helen Mirren
Nice Surprise Penelope Cruz

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Prediction Eddie Murphy or Alan Arkin
Nice Surprise Mark Wahlberg

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Prediction Jennifer Hudson
Nice Surprise Adrianna Barazza

DIRECTOR
Prediction Martin Scorsese
Nice Surprise Paul Greengrass

FOREIGN FILM
Prediction Pan’s Labyrinth
Nice Surprise Water

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